WORKFORCE PROJECTIONS

 

In 2005 there were about 80 specialists in ORL-HNS active in New Zealand, representing 12% of the total number of surgeons. There are 12 advanced trainees in the specialty in 2006. 2 – 3 training positions become available each year.

The recommended specialist to population ratio for ORL-HNS is 1:50,000. The actual ratio in New Zealand in 2005 was 1:64,000, indicating a shortage of specialists in this field. These numbers are not that useful as a significant number of the current ORL surgeons are in their 50s and will retire in the next 10 years. The population is ageing and demanding/needing more ORL surgery. Techniques and types of operations available are also increasing. There is likely to be a significant shortage of ORL surgeons in Australia and New Zealand for the foreseeable future. The number of trainees should be increased, but the limiting factors and government funding for training posts and suitable training positions.